What I think, feel and hope will happen to the TV shows of each network
this season
| Grey's Anatomy |
Yes, Nielsen Ratings suck, but they still account for
most programming decisions. We are just around the time when under-performing shows are axed and bubble shows struggle to survive. I usually agree with the
predictions of TVbythenumbers and the cancellation bear… but not always. Past
experience has taught me that sometimes my gut feelings are better at
predicting cancellations than pure logic. Also, unlike the cancellation bear I
will allow myself to be subjective and I will write about what I ‘wish’ would
happen.
So, let’s start these series of posts with ABC (the other
networks coming soon) [I know you are waiting for The CW]
Comedies
|
Dramas
|
|
Chopping block
|
Happy Endings (Cancelled)
|
Body of Proof
Red Widow (Cancelled) |
Bubble
|
Malibu Country (Cancelled)
Last Man Standing (Renewed) How to live with your...(Cancelled) |
|
Safe
|
The Neighbors (Renewed)
Suburgatory (Renewed) The Middle (Renewed) Modern Family |
Revenge (Renewed)
Nashville (Renewed) Castle (Renewed) Once Upon a Time (Renewed) Scandal (Renewed) Grey's Anatomy |
What my logic says
On the comedy side, it is likely
that Happy Endings will be cancelled
and maybe Malibu Country. As for the
dramas, TVbythenumbers has Body of Proof in
the bubble, but I am more inclined to think it is definitely a goner. I really
don’t see the point of renewing it; they could do better with a new drama next
season.
What my gut says
There isn’t much debate regarding
the dramas on ABC, most of their dramas are doing great: Revenge, Castle, Scandal, Grey’s Anatomy, Once Upon a Time are hits
and Nashville is the best new drama.
They already got rid of their underperforming dramas: Zero Hour and Last Resort. They
probably want to cancel one more and it has to be Body of proof. As for the comedies, my gut tells me they might
cancel Malibu Country and save Happy Endings. They have been doing all
sort of things to Happy Ending:, taking
it off the schedule and now moving it to Friday… which might be a good thing. I feel Happy
Endings has more buzz and, I would imagine, more fans than Malibu Country. Plus, networks usually
prefer to get rid of newbies.
What I hope would happen in an ideal world where I program all 4
networks
Not to be presumptuous (OK, maybe
just a little) but I think I would make an excellent TV programmer. I know
about finance and economics, I am in the most coveted demographic (women 25-49)
and I watch probably 90% of the schedule of any given network. Well…
regardless, I don’t make the programming decisions but at least I can write
about it! For ABC, everything is pretty straight forward. I wish they had given
Last Resort a little more time, but
it is unlikely it would have found an audience; it was not the right network
for it, which is sad because I thought it was a good show. I think Body of Proof had already been renewed
one too many times, so I hope it goes this year. I love most of the ‘safe’
dramas so I am glad they are doing well. Nashville
is not everything I expected it to be, but it is good enough. I guess it deserves to be renewed. I don’t
have any especial attachments to any of the endangered comedies so I don’t
really care which gets cancelled. The Neighbors
is terrible and ideally for me it would have awful ratings, but no such
luck. And that’s it, ABC programming
doesn’t have me worried at all. Pretty much everything is going as it is
supposed to go.
Update March 6th, 2013
Red Widow premiered to really bad ratings, similar to Zero Hour so I am guessing it will be the next drama to go. Maybe even instead of Body of Proof? I am more inclined to think they will both go. I am not surprised about Red Widow, I called it in my "Midseason review" even before I saw the ratings.
Update April 19th, 2013
ABC hasn't renewed any shows yet. I have made some changes to the above table (in red) and my predictions. Red Widow will certainly be cancelled. Now about Body of Proof, I am not so sure. Here is my deal with Body of Proof. I never liked Dana Delany (I don't think she is a bad actress or anything, I just don't like her for no particular reason), so I gave up on Body after 3 episodes. It might be a really good show for all that I know. Browsing the fan campaigns to save shows I've noticed that Body of Proof has a lot of fan support, which frankly surprises me. It might just be enough to save it. But I wouldn't bet on it. The rest of the dramas will be renewed as previously predicted.
I've changed my outlook on the comedies a little too. I don't think Happy Endings will be renewed. I think Last Man Standing will and probably How to live with your parents. Malibu Country is a goner too and maybe even The Neighbors! Happy dance here!
Update May 7th, 2013 FINAL PREDICTIONS
Not much time left to make predictions, ABC is the network which made less renewal/cancellation announcements this year, so at least there is plenty to predict:
HAPPY ENDINGS--> Cancelled (Cancelled May 10th)
MALIBU COUNTRY--> Cancelled (Cancelled May 10th)
LAST MAN STANDING--> Renewed (barely) (Renewed May 10th)
HOW TO LIVE WITH YOUR PARENTS --> Renewed (Cancelled May 10th)
THE NEIGHBORS --> Renewed (sadly) (Renewed May 10th)
SUBURGATORY--> Renewed (Renewed May 10th)
THE MIDDLE --> Renewed (Renewed May 10th)
MODERN FAMILY --> Renewed (without a doubt) (Renewed May 10th)
BODY OF PROOF --> Renewed (just bc it is on its 3rd season and ABC cancelled PP & other freshman dramas, but I make this prediction hesitantly) (Cancelled May 10th)
RED WIDOW--> Cancelled (Cancelled May 10th)
REVENGE --> Renewed (Renewed May 10th)
NASHVILLE --> Renewed (Renewed May 10th)
CASTLE --> Renewed (Renewed May 10th)
ONCE UPON A TIME --> Renewed (Renewed May 10th)
SCANDAL --> Renewed (Renewed May 10th)
GREY'S ANATOMY --> Renewed (Renewed May 10th)
Come back after the ABC upfronts to see how well (or badly) I did with this predictions...
You may also want to read about the fate of other networks
FOX, CBS, NBC, THE CW
Update March 6th, 2013
Red Widow premiered to really bad ratings, similar to Zero Hour so I am guessing it will be the next drama to go. Maybe even instead of Body of Proof? I am more inclined to think they will both go. I am not surprised about Red Widow, I called it in my "Midseason review" even before I saw the ratings.
Update April 19th, 2013
ABC hasn't renewed any shows yet. I have made some changes to the above table (in red) and my predictions. Red Widow will certainly be cancelled. Now about Body of Proof, I am not so sure. Here is my deal with Body of Proof. I never liked Dana Delany (I don't think she is a bad actress or anything, I just don't like her for no particular reason), so I gave up on Body after 3 episodes. It might be a really good show for all that I know. Browsing the fan campaigns to save shows I've noticed that Body of Proof has a lot of fan support, which frankly surprises me. It might just be enough to save it. But I wouldn't bet on it. The rest of the dramas will be renewed as previously predicted.
I've changed my outlook on the comedies a little too. I don't think Happy Endings will be renewed. I think Last Man Standing will and probably How to live with your parents. Malibu Country is a goner too and maybe even The Neighbors! Happy dance here!
Update May 7th, 2013 FINAL PREDICTIONS
Not much time left to make predictions, ABC is the network which made less renewal/cancellation announcements this year, so at least there is plenty to predict:
HAPPY ENDINGS--> Cancelled (Cancelled May 10th)
MALIBU COUNTRY--> Cancelled (Cancelled May 10th)
LAST MAN STANDING--> Renewed (barely) (Renewed May 10th)
HOW TO LIVE WITH YOUR PARENTS --> Renewed (Cancelled May 10th)
THE NEIGHBORS --> Renewed (sadly) (Renewed May 10th)
SUBURGATORY--> Renewed (Renewed May 10th)
THE MIDDLE --> Renewed (Renewed May 10th)
MODERN FAMILY --> Renewed (without a doubt) (Renewed May 10th)
BODY OF PROOF --> Renewed (just bc it is on its 3rd season and ABC cancelled PP & other freshman dramas, but I make this prediction hesitantly) (Cancelled May 10th)
RED WIDOW--> Cancelled (Cancelled May 10th)
REVENGE --> Renewed (Renewed May 10th)
NASHVILLE --> Renewed (Renewed May 10th)
CASTLE --> Renewed (Renewed May 10th)
ONCE UPON A TIME --> Renewed (Renewed May 10th)
SCANDAL --> Renewed (Renewed May 10th)
GREY'S ANATOMY --> Renewed (Renewed May 10th)
Come back after the ABC upfronts to see how well (or badly) I did with this predictions...
You may also want to read about the fate of other networks
FOX, CBS, NBC, THE CW
If they cancel happy endings I will be extremely sad and angry. It's much better than the overhyped and much-touted modern family (this is coming from someone who enjoys both shows for different reasons)
ReplyDeleteWell Modern Family is not going anywhere, and while I enjoy the show well enough I do agree it is over-hyped and probably even a little over-rated. I am neither a fan or a hater of Happy Endings, but I do believe it is much better than Malibu Country or Last Man Standing. I definitely believe Happy Endings deserves to be renewed over Malibu. Let's hope my gut feeling is correct. I believe the move to Fridays may be a good thing. Maybe they are testing it to take over Malibu's spot.... I hope
ReplyDeleteI do hope the change helps. The fact that the Neigbors is still in air boggles my mind. I thought that would have gotten cancelled after one episode.
DeleteThat is probably the worst show I have seen in my life! Can't believe ppl are actually watching it.
DeleteI agree. I couldn't put myself through one episode. It was just pain. I can't believe this is still on but Last Resort was cancelled (different network, I know).
DeleteAfter I saw the pilot of The Neighbors I thought it was going to be gone by next week, until now I can't believe it actually has good enough ratings. Too bad.
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